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I Might Sell This Underperforming Stock This Week

Couch Investor•Sep 25, 2026

Summary

Couch Investor provides a portfolio update, highlighting a year-to-date performance of 39.44% compared to the S&P 500's 11.7%. The main thesis revolves around holding quality businesses that are either misunderstood or currently undervalued by the market. Couch Investor emphasizes that while market macro conditions and sector-specific pressures—such as in the space industry—can cause short-term dips, long-term investors should view these as buying opportunities. A significant focus is placed on the shift toward AI infrastructure and agentic platforms like Meta's Muse, which Couch Investor believes are not fully priced into the current valuations.

Broadcom: Couch Investor is highly optimistic about Broadcom, citing its superior margin profile and explosive revenue growth projections compared to Netflix. Couch Investor calculates an 83.3% upside based on discounted cash flow analysis, viewing it as a premier growth story within the AI sector.
Netflix: Couch Investor is considering selling the Netflix position, which is currently down 16%, because revenue growth is expected to slow down. While acknowledging it is still fundamentally sound, Couch Investor prefers rotating capital into higher-growth opportunities like Broadcom.
Axon: Couch Investor actively increased the position by buying four additional shares at approximately $442 following a $1 billion convertible note announcement. Couch Investor views this as a tactical buying opportunity to leverage a potential rebound above $500.

Mentioned Stocks

AVGO
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Couch Investor argues that Broadcom has superior margins and a better growth story than Netflix, projecting significant upside based on DCF analysis.

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AXON
Sentiment: BUYAction: BOUGHT

Reasoning: Couch Investor purchased four additional shares at $442 after a drop caused by a convertible note announcement, viewing it as a solid entry point.

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AAPL
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: Couch Investor did not provide a specific analysis or transaction for this ticker in the transcript, though it appears in the portfolio list.

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NFLX
Sentiment: SELL

Reasoning: Couch Investor is considering selling the position due to slowing revenue growth projections, despite acknowledging the stock is technically undervalued.

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