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My Take on What to Expect From Micron on Sep. 30

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA•Sep 25, 2026

Summary

Parkev provides a thorough analysis of Micron ahead of its upcoming earnings release. The primary thesis is that Micron has experienced phenomenal growth, with revenue increasing fourfold year-over-year and operating margins exceeding 80%, a rare feat in the industry. Parkev notes that demand is so high that products are essentially sold out through 2027, driven by the expansion of agentic AI and increased needs in data centers.

Regarding risks, Parkev acknowledges the market's concern that Micron remains a cyclical business. However, Parkev emphasizes that long-term customer contracts are successfully reducing this volatility. Unlike other companies in the sector, Micron is maintaining a positive and growing operating cash flow, even while heavily investing in research and development for new memory technologies.

Parkev believes the stock is currently undervalued, trading at a forward P/E ratio of only six. Based on a discounted cash flow analysis, Parkev estimates the fair value of the stock at $1,439 per share, suggesting an upside potential of over 38% over the next 12 to 18 months.

Micron (MU): Parkev labels the stock a strong buy because the business is performing exceptionally well with record-breaking margins. Parkev suggests that the current valuation fails to reflect the company's long-term potential and improved business structure.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Parkev mentions this company as a contrast to Micron, highlighting that while it has high revenue growth, it struggles with negative cash flow due to the nature of selling physical products without Micron's leverage.
Various Tech Leaders (NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, MSFT): Parkev references these as examples of the companies covered in the exclusive member-only live earnings analysis sessions.

Mentioned Stocks

MU
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev considers Micron a buy because it is fundamentally strong, undervalued with a P/E of 6, and shows clear signs of long-term demand and improved operational stability. Parkev suggests entry strategies: 75% before earnings and 25% after for new investors, or reversed for current shareholders, with an estimated fair value of $1,439.

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