THIS Stock Will Print Millionaires AGAIN
Summary
Luke discusses the recent strong performance of several stocks, particularly highlighting Meta (META) and AMD. He emphasizes the importance of buying great businesses during periods of high noise and negativity, as demonstrated by the success of his group's past investments in AMD below $100 and even in the $30s.
Luke's primary focus is on Meta (META), which has surged nearly 40% in the past month. Despite this rapid increase, Luke argues that the stock still has substantial room to run, conservatively valuing it closer to $800. He identifies four key reasons for his conviction:
Luke reiterates that historically, selling shares of great businesses after big runs has often led to regret. He encourages investors to be confident in holding or buying strong companies like Meta, even after significant price movements.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Luke argues Meta is still cheap with a forward multiple of 19, especially compared to Walmart (36). Its fundamentals are accelerating, with increasing revenues, profits, and margins. He highlights untapped monetization levers in WhatsApp and Threads, which are only beginning to be fully monetized. Furthermore, AI is not yet factored into his positive outlook and represents a significant call option, with a conservative fair value closer to $800. Luke's group bought shares in the $530s-$550 range.
Reasoning: Luke praises AMD's "massive run," noting a 600%+ increase in over a year. He highlights that members of his group bought AMD when it dropped below $100 and even in the $30s years ago, describing it as a "great company" and not speculative. He uses it as an example of buying confidently when the noise is high, mentioning confident buying points like AMD at $80.
Reasoning: Luke previously sold Tesla due to its extreme overvaluation. He also observed declining numbers, slowing revenue and profit growth, eroding margins, and persistent delays in projects, making it clear it was time to exit the stock.