SELL This Stock Before Wall St Screws You?
Summary
Luke outlines five primary reasons for maintaining a long-term position in Palantir despite a high valuation. Luke emphasizes that while the stock has provided a 2,000% gain for those who bought at lower levels, selling now could mean missing out on even more significant returns in the future, similar to historical runs by companies like Apple or Nvidia. Luke advises investors to focus on business fundamentals rather than short-term price fluctuations. Luke's strategy involves buying great assets and holding them until the investment thesis fully plays out.
Luke's specific arguments include:
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Luke highlights Palantir's unprecedented earnings growth and the lack of competition in a massive, unsaturated market. Luke notes that although the valuation is high, it is not 'crazy' compared to past bubbles like Tesla in 2021. Luke believes Palantir has the potential for generational returns of 20,000% to 68,000% over a 20-year horizon. Luke also mentions that Luke does not need to sell to raise capital because Luke lives below Luke's means.
Reasoning: Luke uses Apple as a prime example of a long-term hold, noting that Luke has achieved a 68,000% return on the stock. Luke argues that selling such a company early would be a massive financial mistake.
Reasoning: Luke references Tesla's 2021 valuation as an example of an 'irrational' and 'crazy' market state that justifies selling. Luke points out that investors who bought during that hype period are still seeing losses today.