Is Hims & Hers Stock a Buy Right Now in September? | HIMS Stock Analysis
Summary
Parkev highlights that Hims & Hers management is forecasting at least $6.5 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA by 2030. Parkev states that the company has shown explosive growth, increasing revenue from approximately $250 million in 2020 to a trailing 12-month total of $2.6 billion. Parkev notes that the acquisition of Eucalyptus has facilitated robust international expansion and the company has recently surpassed the milestone of 3 million members. Parkev explains that the healthcare industry is ripe for disruption due to widespread consumer dissatisfaction, providing a significant tailwind for Hims & Hers.
Parkev cautions that despite the growth, the company's financial metrics remain volatile. Parkev observes that operating profit margins and returns on invested capital have fluctuated significantly as the company invests in marketing and prepares for FDA approval of new peptides. Parkev calculates a fair value for the stock at $27.50, which is close to the current market price of $28.80. Parkev concludes that while the stock is fairly valued, it is a suitable buying opportunity only for investors who can handle a high-beta, high-risk profile.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Parkev uses Eli Lilly as a benchmark for a lower-risk healthcare investment. Parkev points out that Eli Lilly has a much lower beta than Hims & Hers, typically less than one, signifying stability. Parkev mentions this stock to warn investors that Hims & Hers does not share the same low-risk characteristics as traditional pharmaceutical giants.
Reasoning: Parkev mentions Novo Nordisk as an example of a stable, low-risk business in the healthcare sector. Parkev highlights that its volatility is significantly lower than that of Hims & Hers. Parkev utilizes this comparison to illustrate the specific risk profile an investor takes on when choosing a growth-oriented disruptor over an established player.
Reasoning: Parkev identifies Hims & Hers as a high-growth opportunity with a management target of $6.5 billion in revenue by 2030. Parkev notes that the stock is currently fairly valued with a calculated fair value of $27.50 per share compared to its market price near $28.80. Parkev emphasizes that while the stock is risky with a high beta of 2.4, it is an attractive long-term investment for those with high risk tolerance due to its potential to disrupt the healthcare market.