4 Stocks I'll Buy If We Crash This Week
Summary
Couch Investor analyzes the current state of the portfolio and the broader market, focusing on the recent manifesto by Anthropic's CEO regarding AI safety. Couch Investor believes that while leaders like Sam Altman and Elon Musk agree on a slowdown, this could be a form of regulatory capture intended to protect established players from open-source competition. This sentiment might cause a "DeepSeek-type moment" on Monday, leading to a temporary sell-off in AI stocks. Couch Investor views such a dip as a chance to accumulate shares in high-quality businesses.
Regarding the macro environment, Couch Investor notes the high probability of a rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting but suggests the Fed might surprisingly do nothing. The portfolio remains significantly ahead of the S&P 500 year-to-date, and Couch Investor is maintaining a high cash position to capitalize on any upcoming price drops. Key focus areas include:
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Couch Investor identifies Amazon as a stable investment for long-term holding. Couch Investor provides a price target of $300, noting it currently trades at a discount at $250.
Reasoning: Couch Investor highlights the launch of Meta's AI agent platform as a catalyst for momentum. Couch Investor states the stock should be valued at over $800, compared to its current price of $650.
Reasoning: Couch Investor states that SoFi is currently in an accumulation zone below $18. Couch Investor believes the underlying business is stronger than ever and could benefit from upcoming FOMC news.
Reasoning: Couch Investor views Alphabet as a strong long-term hold and mentions that adding more at current prices is a good strategy. Couch Investor notes that an ideal entry would be around $300, representing a 10% correction from recent levels.
Reasoning: Couch Investor mentions recently purchasing four shares at $522. Couch Investor is looking to add more if the price continues to drop below its current level of $480.
Reasoning: Couch Investor sees Nu Holdings as a future multi-hundred billion dollar company. Couch Investor views the current retest of the $15 support area as a good sign for long-term growth.
Reasoning: Couch Investor expects short-term volatility but sees it as an opportunity. Couch Investor explicitly mentions they will buy more shares if the price drops drastically below $200.
Reasoning: Couch Investor believes the business is undervalued in the low $70s despite negative market sentiment. Couch Investor notes that insiders are buying and the company continues to deliver on fundamentals.