Buying MORE of THIS Stock
Summary
Luke discusses Google, which has been his biggest gaining stock over the past year, with Luke having made 15 separate buys last year between $140 and $170 per share, now trading well over $300. He addresses the question of whether to take profits or continue holding/buying, presenting both bear and bull cases.
Arguments for taking profits include:
Conversely, Luke provides strong arguments for holding or buying more:
As a long-term buy-and-hold investor, Luke states he has "no desire to sell any" of his Google shares and is "absolutely holding." He also recommends Google as a buy for long-term investors or those considering dollar-cost averaging, emphasizing its accelerating growth, early AI opportunities, and reasonable valuation.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Luke uses Nvidia as an example to illustrate the scale of Google's previous run-up. He questions the sustainability of such massive gains for a mega-cap company, likening it to 'Nvidia going from where it is right now to well over $400'. This is a hypothetical comparison rather than a direct analysis or recommendation for Nvidia.
Reasoning: Luke mentions AMD in contrast to Google, explaining that its significant past run-up was more understandable because it was 'significantly undervalued' and 'not a mega cap stock' at the time. This comparison serves to highlight the rarity and difficulty of a mega-cap like Google achieving similar percentage gains, rather than providing a current recommendation for AMD itself.
Reasoning: Luke identifies Google as his biggest gaining stock, having made 15 personal buys last year between $140 and $170 per share. Currently trading well over $300, Luke acknowledges arguments for taking profits, such as its over 100% gain for a mega-cap and 'fake profits' from mark-to-market investments (SpaceX, Anthropic) which he backs out of his valuation. However, Luke's bullish stance is driven by Google's accelerating core business growth, its leadership in AI with monetization just beginning, and a valuation he considers cheap at 23-25 times earnings even after adjusting for the 'fake profits'. As a long-term investor, Luke is 'absolutely holding' his shares and recommends it as a long-term buy for others.