I Just Sold Out of a Stock Completely. Here's What I Bought Instead
Summary
Couch Investor provides an update on the 'Kochi investing portfolio,' which is currently up 32.7% year-to-date compared to the S&P 500's 13.4%. Couch Investor emphasizes that the upcoming earnings week is critical, with major reports expected from Rocket Lab, Nebus, and DLocal. The main thesis presented is that investors must be willing to cut 'losers' that suffer from poor execution and guidance in order to reallocate capital into higher-conviction, accelerating businesses. Couch Investor also notes that macro factors like rate cuts are short-term noise and do not change the long-term investment thesis for quality companies.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Couch Investor states the stock is currently expensive after a recent 30% rally. Couch Investor argues that the success of the Neutron rocket is a 'complete game changer' and essential for the long-term thesis to remain intact.
Reasoning: Couch Investor states that memory names like Micron are very cheap and continue to grow top and bottom lines significantly. Couch Investor wouldn't be surprised if the stock returns to all-time highs as there are no real cracks in the business.
Reasoning: Couch Investor bought more shares at $125 before the earnings report as a gamble on growth acceleration. The position is up 55% with the stock at $172, though Couch Investor will not chase it at current prices.
Reasoning: Couch Investor sold the position at a 35.6% loss because of disappointing guidance and execution. Couch Investor states that the business is not moving in the right direction and prefers to move capital to companies with accelerating business growth.
Reasoning: Couch Investor views the recent dip as a disconnect from strong business fundamentals, including improved medical loss ratios and positive operating earnings. Couch Investor believes the road is still very long for the company and looks forward to the investor day.
Reasoning: Couch Investor identifies this as the largest portfolio position with massive growth potential. Couch Investor highlights the benefit of diversified data center locations and expects revenue to potentially reach $21.4 billion by fiscal 2028.