Got $25? 1 Undervalued Growth Stock to Buy Now in August
Summary
Parkev presents a bullish thesis for Chewy, emphasizing the 'humanization of pets' trend as a significant tailwind for the industry. The company benefits from a highly predictable business model, with over 80% of its $12.8 billion in revenue coming from recurring 'Autoship' sales, which simplifies inventory management and logistics. Parkev notes that while the business is capital-intensive, management has successfully utilized automation to swing from a -15% operating margin in 2019 to a positive 2.58% today.
From a financial efficiency standpoint, Parkev highlights Chewy's impressive Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 26.25%, which is double its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of 12.82%. This 2:1 ratio indicates that management is generating significant value from every dollar invested back into the company. Parkev also praises the management team for their disciplined approach during the pandemic, neither overextending during the boom nor struggling during the economic reopening.
Regarding valuation, Parkev points out that the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just 13, which is near historical lows. Based on a discounted cash flow analysis, Parkev calculates a fair value of $33 per share. Given that the stock was trading around $24 at the time of the recording, Parkev sees a clear margin of safety for investors.
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Reasoning: Parkev believes Chewy is undervalued, trading at a forward P/E of 13. Parkev's discounted cash flow analysis yields a fair value of $33 per share, representing upside from the current price of $24. The recommendation is supported by strong fundamentals, including a 26.25% ROIC and a high percentage of recurring revenue.