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META Stock is Crashing After Earnings - Here's What You Need to Know

Daniel PronkJul 30, 2026

Summary

Daniel provides a comprehensive analysis of Meta's Q2 2026 earnings, noting that while the stock dropped 11% in after-hours trading, the core fundamentals remain strong. Daniel highlights that revenue grew by 28%, although net income and margins were pressured by $3.6 billion in one-time legal and severance expenses. Daniel observes that Meta is successfully increasing efficiency, as evidenced by a shrinking headcount paired with double-digit growth in advertising impressions and pricing. Daniel also addresses investor concerns regarding capital expenditures and off-balance sheet liabilities, arguing that Meta's $130 billion in annual operating cash flow is more than sufficient to cover these future obligations.

META: Daniel maintains a highly bullish outlook on Meta, citing its strong 28% revenue growth and massive base of 3.6 billion daily active users. Daniel notes that the current valuation of 16 times forward earnings and 10.3 times operating cash flow is exceptionally low for a company of this quality. Daniel's DCF analysis, based on a $585 share price, suggests that the stock is significantly undervalued and could potentially reach $1,100 by 2039 if it achieves a 25-26% compounded annual growth rate.

Mentioned Stocks

META
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Daniel points to Meta's 28% revenue growth and the acceleration in ad impressions and pricing as signs of a strong core business. Daniel explains that the earnings miss was caused by one-time legal and severance charges totaling $3.6 billion, and without these, profitability would have increased. Daniel also defends Meta's capital expenditures and off-balance sheet commitments, noting that Daniel's analysis of the $130 billion trailing operating cash flow confirms the company can comfortably afford these investments. Daniel highlights a forward P/E of 16 and a price-to-operating-cash-flow ratio of 10.3 as evidence that Meta is undervalued relative to Daniel's projected compounded annual growth rate of 25% or more from the $585 price point.

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