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Should You Buy SoFi Stock Before Wednesday?

Couch InvestorJul 27, 2026

Summary

Couch Investor argues that SoFi's business performance is currently detached from its stock price due to negative market sentiment. Couch Investor emphasizes that the company is a fast-growing business with revenue growth consistently between 37% and 43% over the last four quarters. Couch Investor states that profitability is improving rapidly and the trailing P/E ratio is low given the bottom-line expansion.

Couch Investor addresses the upcoming earnings report and its timing with the FOMC meeting, suggesting that Fed commentary could impact SoFi's stock price more than the results themselves. Couch Investor expects SoFi to be prudent with its guidance, likely maintaining current targets while accounting for a more cautious interest rate environment. Couch Investor also notes that net charge-off rates remain manageable at 4.4%, well below the company's modeled safety net.

SoFi (SOFI): Couch Investor predicts a strong quarter with adjusted revenue of $1.16 billion and an EPS of approximately 13 cents, which would exceed market expectations. Couch Investor notes that the net interest margin remains healthy above 5% and student loan refinancing has grown by 100%. Based on a probability-weighted DCF analysis, Couch Investor identifies a fair value of $23.45, implying a 42.4% upside from the current price of $16.70.

Mentioned Stocks

SOFI
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Couch Investor states that SoFi is extremely undervalued due to negative market sentiment rather than poor business performance. Couch Investor predicts that the company will report a revenue beat of $1.16 billion and earnings per share of 13 cents, surpassing consensus estimates. Couch Investor also notes that a probability-weighted DCF model suggests a fair value of $23.45, providing significant upside from the current $16.70 price level.

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