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Huge News for Reddit Stock Investors | RDDT Stock Analysis

Parkev Tatevosian, CFAJul 26, 2026

Summary

Parkev analyzes the market's reaction to reports that Reddit might terminate its $60 million annual AI training deal with Google due to traffic cannibalization concerns. Parkev suggests this move is likely a strategic negotiating tactic to secure a higher payout, noting that similar public stances often lead to improved contract terms. Parkev emphasizes that even if the deal were lost, the revenue represents less than 5% of Reddit's projected free cash flow, making the sharp decline in stock price unjustified.

Parkev maintains a bullish outlook on Reddit, citing its position as one of the fastest-growing social media platforms despite having a smaller user base than competitors like Meta or Pinterest. Parkev highlights the company's improving financial metrics and attractive valuation at current price levels.

Reddit (RDDT): Parkev considers the stock a buying opportunity with a calculated fair value of $202 per share, representing significant upside from the current price of approximately $170. Parkev forecasts robust free cash flow growth, projecting $1.2 billion in 2026, $1.6 billion in 2027, and $2.1 billion in 2028. Parkev also notes that the forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5 is compelling given the company's high growth trajectory.

Mentioned Stocks

RDDT
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev believes the stock is undervalued after an 8-9% market overreaction to news regarding the Google data deal, which Parkev views as a negotiating tactic. Parkev calculates a fair value of $202 per share, while the stock is currently trading around $170. Parkev points to Reddit's best-in-class growth rates and attractive forward P/E of 18.5 as key reasons for the recommendation. Additionally, Parkev forecasts significant free cash flow growth through 2028 ($1.2B in 2026, $1.6B in 2027, and $2.1B in 2028).

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