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Should You Buy Meta Stock Before the Huge Investor Update?

Parkev Tatevosian, CFAJul 19, 2026

Summary

Parkev provides a comprehensive analysis of Meta Platforms, focusing on the company's financial health and strategic AI investments. Parkev notes that Meta recently achieved 33% revenue growth while maintaining a 41% operating margin, which is impressive given the massive scale of infrastructure spending. Parkev is closely monitoring daily active users, hoping for a reversal of the slight decline seen in regions like Iran and Russia, and expects AI-driven engagement to bolster ad impressions.

Parkev also discusses the capital expenditure (CapEx) outlook, noting that Meta raised its forecast to between $125 billion and $145 billion. Parkev suggests that once this spending peaks, the company will likely resume aggressive stock buybacks, which previously acted as a price floor. Parkev emphasizes that Meta's current valuation is lower than the S&P 500 average, despite Meta being a superior business in terms of growth and margins.

Meta Platforms (META): Parkev identifies Meta as a top pick, citing a forward P/E of 18.2, which is significantly lower than the broader market. Parkev highlights a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis that yields a fair value of $874 per share, representing substantial upside from the current $661 price level. Parkev recommends that investors consider buying 75% of their intended position before earnings and the remaining 25% after the announcement to manage risk while capturing potential gains.

Mentioned Stocks

META
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev believes Meta is fundamentally undervalued, trading at a forward P/E of 18.2 compared to the S&P 500's 25. Parkev uses a discounted cash flow model to estimate a fair value of $874, which is significantly higher than the current price of $661. Parkev specifically suggests an entry strategy of buying 75% before the earnings announcement and 25% after, citing more upside potential than downside risk.

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