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Should You Buy Amazon Stock Before the Huge Investor Update? | AMZN Stock Analysis

Parkev Tatevosian, CFAJul 17, 2026

Summary

Parkev provides a comprehensive analysis of Amazon's valuation and business segments leading up to the July earnings announcement. Parkev emphasizes that while the market is concerned about high capital expenditures, the underlying fundamentals remain robust. Parkev highlights that AWS is seeing accelerating revenue growth, reaching 28% in the most recent quarter, and argues that reaching 30% would be a major positive catalyst for the stock.

Parkev also draws attention to Amazon's underappreciated segments, such as its AI chips (Tranium and Graviton), which have secured multi-billion dollar commitments from major players like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta. Additionally, Parkev notes Amazon's efficiency improvements in e-commerce, where the company is delivering more packages while simultaneously reducing its total headcount. Parkev also views the Zoox driverless car initiative as a potential long-term cost-saver for Amazon's massive delivery network.

Amazon (AMZN): Parkev labels the stock as undervalued, trading at a forward P/E of 26 compared to Parkev's fair value estimate of a 32 P/E. Parkev's discounted cash flow (DCF) model yields a fair value of $317 per share, significantly higher than the current market price of $255. Parkev recommends a strategy of buying 75% of a position before earnings and 25% after to manage risk while capturing potential upside.

Mentioned Stocks

AMZN
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev considers Amazon undervalued with a fair value of $317 based on a DCF model, compared to the current price of $255. Parkev highlights the accelerating growth of AWS (28% recently), triple-digit growth in the AI chips business, and the potential for driverless delivery via Zoox. Parkev suggests a 75/25 split for buying before and after earnings, believing there is more upside risk than downside.

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