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Great News for Nvidia Stock Investors! | NVDA Stock Analysis

Parkev Tatevosian, CFAJul 17, 2026

Summary

Parkev analyzes the impact of reports indicating that Nvidia has finally begun shipping its H200 chips to customers in China. Despite previous regulatory hurdles, Nvidia had secured orders for approximately 2 million units at a price point of $27,000 each, representing a $54 billion revenue opportunity. Parkev emphasizes that this market access was unexpected and serves as a major boost to the company's financial outlook.

Parkev provides a breakdown of the potential financial benefits, estimating that after a proposed US sales tax and operating expenses, these Chinese orders could generate roughly $25.8 billion in additional free cash flow. Parkev explains that previous valuation models assumed zero revenue from China to remain conservative. With the market opening up, Parkev suggests this could provide a 10% to 20% upside to the stock's fair value.

NVDA: Parkev views Nvidia as significantly undervalued at its current price of $212, noting it is the largest position in a personal portfolio. Parkev previously calculated a fair value of $305 excluding China, but now estimates the fair value could reach between $330 and $360 per share. Parkev ranks Nvidia as one of the top 12 stocks to buy right now due to its massive free cash flow potential and dominant position in the AI chip market.

Mentioned Stocks

NVDA
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev identifies Nvidia as being significantly undervalued at $212 per share and ranks it as one of the 12 best stocks to buy. Parkev calculates a fair value of $305 per share without China sales, but increases this estimate to a range of $330 to $360 per share now that shipments to China have commenced. Parkev highlights the massive potential of $54 billion in orders which could lead to $25.8 billion in incremental free cash flow.

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