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I Just Bought $3,500 More of These 2 Stocks. Here's Why

Couch Investor•Jul 12, 2026

Summary

Couch Investor provides a comprehensive update on portfolio performance, noting a 41% year-to-date increase compared to the S&P 500's 10.71%. Couch Investor emphasizes the importance of the upcoming earnings week, specifically highlighting ASML and TSMC for their impact on the semiconductor and AI sectors, as well as Netflix for the broader tech market. The macro outlook discussed by Couch Investor includes a focus on Federal Reserve rate expectations for 2027 and how potential hikes might influence companies like SoFi and Robinhood.

Couch Investor details specific stock movements and strategic adjustments within the portfolio:

Nebius (NBIS): Couch Investor views Nebius as a high-conviction winner, representing nearly 20% of the portfolio. Couch Investor recently purchased 10 additional shares at $195, citing the Chief Revenue Officer's comments about the company potentially generating tens of billions in revenue within the next 13 months. Couch Investor believes the company could reach a valuation of $200 billion in the coming years.
Rocket Lab (RKLB): Couch Investor is actively reloading this position after the stock failed to hold the $100 level and dropped to $81. Couch Investor bought 20 shares recently and is looking for a potential entry point in the mid-70s to low-70s for further accumulation. Couch Investor aims to regain the position size previously held before selling at higher prices.
Meta (META): Couch Investor describes Meta as significantly undervalued at $669, suggesting the stock should be valued closer to $900 today. Couch Investor points to reports of Meta doubling its compute capacity by 2027 and the strong performance of its Llama 3.1 model as bullish indicators. Couch Investor expects high-margin revenue from AI agentic workloads and the Meta cloud business segment.
Netflix (NFLX): Couch Investor recommends accumulating Netflix in the "low 7s" range (likely referring to the $700s based on current trading) ahead of its earnings report. While there are concerns about softening viewer engagement, Couch Investor believes the growing advertising business and expansion into live sports are long-term positives. Couch Investor notes the stock is currently trading at a forward PE of 22.1, which is attractive for its growth profile.

Mentioned Stocks

RKLB
Sentiment: BUYAction: BOUGHT

Reasoning: Couch Investor recently purchased another 20 shares at $80-$81. Couch Investor is looking to accumulate more in the mid-70s to low-70s range after the price fell from $100. The goal is to reload the position after selling earlier at higher prices.

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META
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Couch Investor argues Meta is a $900 stock currently trading at $669, representing significant undervaluation. Couch Investor cites the doubling of compute capacity by 2027 and the success of Llama 3.1 models as key drivers for high-margin growth through agentic services.

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GOOGL
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Couch Investor notes that Alphabet is defending the $357 zone, which represents a constructive pause. Couch Investor advises accumulating on any minor dips towards the rising 100-day floor, with the next trigger for upward movement being a daily close above $360.

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AXON
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: Couch Investor finds the stock quite expensive at its current valuation, even with a pullback from recent highs. Couch Investor is willing to wait for the name to cool off more before considering adding to the position, noting that the fair value estimate was around $565.

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NU
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Couch Investor is positive on Nu following its approval as a multiple banking institution in Mexico. Couch Investor believes this license provides structural cost and liquidity advantages that will allow Nu to replicate its highly profitable Brazilian growth engine in the Mexican market.

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NBIS
Sentiment: BUYAction: BOUGHT

Reasoning: Couch Investor increased the position by buying 10 shares at $195. Couch Investor highlights the Chief Revenue Officer's projection of tens of billions in revenue within 13 months and believes the stock is extremely cheap trading at less than three times fiscal 2028 sales, with a long-term potential to become a $200 billion company.

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NFLX
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Couch Investor states that the low 700s (mentioned as 'low 7s') is a good accumulation zone. Couch Investor believes that even at $800, the stock is not expensive given the multi-billion dollar potential of its advertising business and strategic push into live events and sports.

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