9 Best Stocks To Buy In July
Summary
Joseph Carlson After Hours analyzes the current market dynamic where semiconductor stocks now make up nearly 20% of the S&P 500, a level Joseph Carlson After Hours compares to the 2000 dot-com bubble. Joseph Carlson After Hours believes that this extreme concentration is driven by momentum, leading investors to sell high-quality companies in other sectors to fund semiconductor purchases. Consequently, Joseph Carlson After Hours identifies several stocks that are currently 'left behind' but possess strong fundamentals, high operating leverage, and attractive entry points for July.
Regarding market outlook, Joseph Carlson After Hours highlights that the S&P 500's 'everything else' category has dropped in weighting from 98% to 80%. Joseph Carlson After Hours agrees with Tom Lee that July could be a strong month due to positive Q2 earnings surprises and potential PE expansion. Furthermore, Joseph Carlson After Hours dismisses the narrative that AI will eliminate jobs, arguing instead that AI increases employee productivity and operating leverage, as evidenced by rising EBIT-per-employee metrics at major tech firms.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours recommends Amazon because its CAPEX spending is being immediately monetized through AWS and its logistics network. Joseph Carlson After Hours states that the market's skepticism regarding its spending creates a buying opportunity for a business with accelerating growth.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours identifies Meta as a top pick due to its 18x forward PE ratio and significant operating leverage. Joseph Carlson After Hours believes the massive compute investments will enhance ad efficiency by 10x and allow for new revenue streams like AI licensing and compute rental.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours notes that Microsoft is trading below $400, which puts its valuation at a 5-year low comparable to the 2022 bottom. Joseph Carlson After Hours believes the high-teens earnings growth makes it an ideal buy as it is sold off to fund semiconductor trades.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours states that Mastercard is an attractive buy at $530, down from its $600 high. Joseph Carlson After Hours notes that at a 25x forward PE, this high-quality compounder is trading at a compelling valuation for long-term investors.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours views Netflix as cheap at a 22x forward PE, especially as it is down 40% from highs. Joseph Carlson After Hours believes the company will adapt its content strategy to improve viewer retention and continues to be a dangerous stock to bet against.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours argues that Constellation Software remains a high-quality serial acquirer. Joseph Carlson After Hours believes the sell-off due to AI fears is overdone, as AI is unlikely to replace the specific vertical software they manage.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours recommends Copart because it is down over 50% from its highs despite a solid business model and moat. Joseph Carlson After Hours is impressed by their balance sheet and their unique role in the insurance and salvage software market.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours labels MicroStrategy and Michael Saylor as the 'fail of the week.' Joseph Carlson After Hours points out that the stock is down 80% and criticizes the levered Bitcoin strategy for demolishing the company's value twice.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours explicitly states that they added Uber to their portfolio recently. Joseph Carlson After Hours highlights that the stock dropped from $100 to $70 and that Uber's trip volume is 570x larger than Waymo's, securing its market dominance.
Reasoning: Joseph Carlson After Hours mentions personally buying DoorDash at $150. Joseph Carlson After Hours believes the company is early in its growth phase and that the current market dynamics have unfairly suppressed its stock price.