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Should Investors Buy Amazon Stock Instead of Walmart? | AMZN STock Analysis | WMT STock Analysis

Summary

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA conducts a comparative analysis between Amazon and Walmart, highlighting that Amazon has recently surpassed Walmart in trailing 12-month revenue. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA notes that while Walmart's management has performed admirably in catching up to Amazon's e-commerce dominance using its physical store network, the two companies diverge sharply in profitability. Amazon's operating margins have improved to over 12%, whereas Walmart's margins remain low at roughly 4%, primarily because shipping goods to individual homes is less profitable for Walmart than traditional in-store shopping.

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA further explains that valuation is where the disparity between the two companies becomes most evident. Despite Amazon's heavy spending on artificial intelligence and data centers, Parkev Tatevosian, CFA observes that it trades at a lower forward price-to-earnings ratio than Walmart. Using a discounted cash flow model, Parkev Tatevosian, CFA determines that Amazon is currently undervalued by the market, while Walmart is receiving excessive credit for its recent successes, leading to an overvalued stock price.

AMZN: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA views Amazon as a top pick because its AWS cloud segment consistently delivers operating margins exceeding 30%. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA points out that the stock trades at a forward P/E of 27.8, which is lower than historical norms for a high-growth technology leader. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA calculates a fair value of $297 per share, suggesting the stock is significantly undervalued compared to its price of $242.
WMT: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA acknowledges Walmart's efficient growth in the online sector but argues that the market has pushed the stock's valuation too high with a forward P/E of 37.5. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA believes Walmart's capital-intensive business model will struggle to reach Amazon's profitability levels in the long run. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA calculates a fair value of only $73 per share, indicating the stock is overvalued at its current price of $109.

Mentioned Stocks

AMZN
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA highlights Amazon's superior operating margins of 12.14%, driven by the AWS segment's 30%+ margins. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA references a forward P/E of 27.8 and calculates a fair value of $297, concluding that the stock is undervalued at its current price of $242.

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WMT
Sentiment: SELL

Reasoning: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA argues Walmart is overvalued with a forward P/E of 37.5, which is unusually high for a brick-and-mortar retailer compared to a tech company. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA calculates a fair value of $73 per share, significantly lower than its market price of $109, and notes its lower operating margins of 4.16%.

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