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Fiverr Stock vs. Upwork Stock: Which is the Better Stock to Buy?

Summary

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA analyzes the dramatic decline of Fiverr and Upwork, which have dropped significantly in 2024 due to fears surrounding artificial intelligence. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA acknowledges that while AI has caused some revenue growth deceleration, the underlying gig economy model remains strong due to the flexibility it offers both workers and businesses. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA posits a contrarian thesis where AI actually drives future demand, as business owners will need to hire experts from these platforms to set up and update 'agentic workflows' and AI automations that they cannot manage themselves.

From a financial perspective, Parkev Tatevosian, CFA highlights the significant margin improvements both companies have achieved recently. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA points out that the valuations—trading at forward P/E ratios of roughly 5 to 6—suggest the market expects a terminal decline that may not materialize. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA views these stocks as a strategic hedge; if the AI hype cycle cools or if these companies prove resilient, the stocks could see a massive rebound from their current depressed levels.

UPWK: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA selects Upwork as the slightly better option of the two due to its larger scale and more established relationships with small and medium-sized enterprises. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA highlights that Upwork's operating margin jumped to 15.6% following successful cost-cutting measures instituted in late 2022. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA notes the stock is trading at an incredibly cheap forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.9.
FVRR: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA rates Fiverr as a buy because of its impressive historical revenue growth and its improving path to profitability. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA notes that the company has successfully moved its operating margin from -30% to a positive 2.6%. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA believes the forward P/E ratio of 5.2 offers a compelling risk-reward profile for investors willing to look past short-term AI fears.

Mentioned Stocks

UPWK
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA prefers Upwork due to its higher operating margin of 15.6% and its larger scale compared to Fiverr. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA points out that the stock is trading at an extremely low forward P/E of 5.9, which provides a significant margin of safety if AI fears prove overblown. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA believes its business with medium-sized enterprises makes it more resilient.

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FVRR
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev Tatevosian, CFA rates Fiverr as a buy, noting its historical revenue growth from $100 million in 2020 to $429 million recently. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA highlights the improvement in operating margin from -30% to 2.6% and finds the forward P/E of 5.2 to be ridiculously cheap. Parkev Tatevosian, CFA argues that Fiverr could benefit from businesses hiring AI specialists to maintain dynamic automations.

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