The Last EASY Trade Before It Explodes
Summary
Brian discusses the emergence of Edge AI as the next critical phase in artificial intelligence, following the initial build-out of large data centers. He emphasizes that while data centers are essential for training AI, the real-world application will increasingly occur on devices at the "edge," such as phones, cars, cameras, and robots. This shift promises faster, more private, and cloud-independent intelligence, with the edge AI chip market projected to grow over 30% annually, surpassing data center growth. Brian notes that recent market pullbacks have created attractive buying opportunities for investors. He then details several companies positioned to lead this transition:
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: Brian points to Broadcom as a leader in custom AI chips (ASICs) for data centers, controlling about 60% of the market. Its financial transformation includes an eightfold profit increase and operating margin climbing from 17% to 40% in five years. For Edge AI, Broadcom is incorporating dedicated AI engines into Wi-Fi routers and home gateways, exemplified by its first Wi-Fi 8 chip with a neural engine, and a 5G platform with Samsung, planting it "at the front of the network edge."
Reasoning: Brian acknowledges Nvidia's dominance in AI data centers but emphasizes its crucial role in Edge AI through Jetson Thor, an "on-robot brain," and its Isaac software/Groot foundation models for robotics. He cites its phenomenal financial growth, with profits multiplying over 40 times in 6 years and gross margins over 70%, identifying robotics as its "next engine."
Reasoning: Brian presents Mobileye as the "purest way" to own automotive edge vision, with its IQ chip acting as the car's "eyes and reflexes," already deployed in over 230 million vehicles. After a one-time write-down cleared, revenue is "climbing again," up 27% in the most recent quarter. Mobileye is also expanding into operating its own robotaxi fleet. He acknowledges the risk of Intel's large share block but highlights Mobileye's huge installed base as a significant competitive moat.
Reasoning: Brian highlights Calix's transformation from a loss-making "box seller" to a profitable recurring revenue software platform for internet gateway boxes, which are the front line of edge computing. The company's gross margin has climbed to nearly 57%, putting it in "software company territory." It now compounds quietly on the edge of the network with an AI layer.
Reasoning: Brian positions Ambarella as the "purest bet" on edge AI vision, with roughly 80% of its revenue from this segment. Its chips enable on-device decision-making for cameras, drones, and robots without cloud interaction. The company has shipped over 46 million vision chips and recently signed a decade-long agreement with Hanwha. While it's a pure play investing for growth and not yet highly profitable, revenue re-accelerated by 37% in the past year, and operating losses are narrowing. Brian states, "you own this one for where edge vision is heading knowing that earnings are still a little bit ahead of it."
Reasoning: Brian identifies Renesas as the largest maker of automotive microcontrollers, now integrating on-device AI into its chips, such as the R-Car X5H, a 3-nanometer chip delivering 400 trillion AI operations per second with 35% less power. Bosch and Zephyr are already using it. The business is "genuinely profitable" with high-teens operating margins, and Renesas acquired Altium and Pictorus to own the entire workflow. A recent reported loss was a one-time write-down, not reflective of the core business. He notes it trades over-the-counter in the U.S., which makes it harder to buy.
Reasoning: Brian explains that Cohu is critical for testing every edge chip, processor, and sensor before it ships. He notes it's a cyclical name currently "catching it as the cycle turns," with orders jumping 57% year-over-year due to the influx of edge and automotive silicon. Its recurring revenue from spares and services accounts for nearly 60% of its business, providing stickiness. Its Eclipse platform is winning test slots for high-performance AI processors, broadening its market beyond automotive. He reiterates, "right now, we're starting to catch it on the turn."