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Investors Should Be Cautious The Next 48hrs

Chris Sain•Mar 31, 2026

Summary

Chris argues that the market is currently experiencing a significant downtrend, marked by three consecutive months of downward pressure and the S&P 500 falling below its critical 200-day moving average, with candles consistently closing below this key psychological level. He expects this downward pressure to continue, possibly through April, before the market eventually finds a bottom and recovers, potentially riding up into summer and Christmas. He describes this as a cyclical pattern, noting that while some years see continuous market increases, others experience a Q1 downtrend followed by sideways movement and then an upturn.

He offers a dual strategy for investors:

**Short-term (Defensive Play):** Chris advises capitalizing on temporary market rallies, which he refers to as "dead cat bounces" (e.g., when the S&P 500, represented by SPY, might pop up to resistance levels like 640 or 660). He recommends using these pops as opportunities to buy put options on the SPY, profiting from the subsequent downward movement. He explicitly mentions buying the 615 put on SPY after a bounce.
**Long-term (Accumulation Play):** Despite the short-term bearish outlook, Chris emphasizes that "now is the best time to invest for the long term." He encourages dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into high-quality stocks and ETFs when the market is in "extreme fear" and valuations are attractive. He views the market as a vehicle that always goes up over a 1 to 3-year horizon. He suggests accumulating positions during these discounted periods, anticipating a future recovery.
**Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI):** Chris explicitly states that he personally bought $10,000 worth of VTI today. He notes that VTI is currently well below its 200-day moving average, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors. He anticipates that VTI will recover and "pop back up" over the next 12 to 18 months, making it a sound long-term accumulation.
**Meta Platforms (META), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT):** Chris identifies these as "the plays to buy," despite their charts currently looking "horrible." He acknowledges that "now might not be the time to buy" for a quick gain, but strongly recommends dollar-cost averaging into them for long-term positions. For Nvidia, he specifically mentions that it will make a recovery within 6, 9, or 12 months, and suggests consistently putting a fixed amount, like $250, into it until its recovery.
**Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD):** Chris recommends these ETFs for long-term investing, similar to VTI. He stresses that current market conditions, characterized by discounts and price consolidation, make it the ideal time to buy into these funds. He expects these investments to be up within 1 to 3 years.

Mentioned Stocks

META
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Chris identifies Meta as a "play to buy" for long-term investors, even though its current charts look "horrible." He recommends dollar-cost averaging into the stock due to attractive valuations during the current market downturn, expecting a future recovery.

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NVDA
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Chris classifies Nvidia as a "play to buy" for long-term investors, despite its current "horrible" charts. He recommends dollar-cost averaging into it, projecting that Nvidia will make a recovery within 6, 9, or 12 months. He suggests consistently investing a fixed amount, such as $250, into it until its recovery.

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MSFT
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Chris considers Microsoft a "play to buy" for long-term investors, even with its "horrible" current charts. He advises dollar-cost averaging into the stock during the present downturn due to attractive valuations, in anticipation of a future recovery.

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SPY
Sentiment: SELLAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Chris views the market as being in a clear short-term downtrend, having lost the 200-day moving average. He recommends taking advantage of temporary upward movements, or "dead cat bounces," to buy put options on the SPY. He suggests buying the 615 put on SPY, and explicitly mentions resistance levels like 640 and 660 as potential points to enter put trades to profit from subsequent declines.

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QQQ
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Chris recommends QQQ for long-term investing. He emphasizes that current market conditions, characterized by discounts and price consolidation, make it an opportune time to buy this ETF. He expects QQQ to be up within 1 to 3 years.

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VTI
Sentiment: BUYAction: BOUGHT

Reasoning: Chris personally bought $10,000 worth of VTI today. He states that VTI is currently well below its 200-day moving average, indicating a discounted price. He recommends it for dollar-cost averaging and long-term holding, anticipating a recovery and "pop back up" within the next 12 to 18 months.

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SCHD
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Chris recommends SCHD for long-term investing. He highlights that the current market conditions, with discounts and price consolidation, provide an ideal opportunity for accumulation. He anticipates SCHD will be up within 1 to 3 years.

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