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Is Palantir Stock an Undervalued AI Stock to Buy? | PLTR Stock Analysis

Parkev Tatevosian, CFAJun 15, 2026

Summary

Parkev discusses Palantir stock, noting its recent crash to near its 52-week low. He recounts his past warnings to investors when the stock was overvalued, trading above $150 and even $200 per share, and his previous recommendation to buy when it was trading between $20 and $40. He emphasizes that his investment strategy relies heavily on valuation, leading him to downgrade stocks when they become too expensive.

Currently, Parkev re-evaluates Palantir's business, prospects, and profits against its new, lower valuation. He highlights several positive aspects:

**Palantir (PLTR):** The company has successfully reinvigorated and accelerated its revenue growth, projected to hit 72.5% in 2026, though analysts expect a deceleration afterwards (44.7% in 2027 and 43% in 2028). The company has significantly improved its profitability, with its cash flow from operations to sales ratio reaching 47.7% in 2025 (up from 11.7% in 2022) and operating profit margins hitting 31.6% in the same year (nearly tripling from 2024 and increasing by nearly 6x from 2023). This growth is driven by innovation rather than discounts, leading to a competitive edge in the AI industry, being at least one, if not two, steps ahead of rivals, and commanding high revenue per customer.

Parkev points out that the recent stock price decline is likely due to the anticipated deceleration of revenue growth, which tends to reduce investor enthusiasm and increase valuation uncertainty. However, he believes the stock is now trading at a "more reasonable valuation" compared to its past extreme levels (e.g., forward P/E approaching 240-250). He cites a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 83 and a forward price-to-operating cash flow of 66 as attractive for a company with such high growth and profit margins. His updated discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model now pegs Palantir's intrinsic value per share at $153, which is higher than the current market price of $128. This analysis, after applying a margin of safety, leads him to conclude that Palantir stock is currently undervalued and represents a great buying opportunity for long-term investors.

Mentioned Stocks

PLTR
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev notes that Palantir is trading near its 52-week low after being overvalued for a long time. He highlights strong revenue growth re-acceleration (projected 72.5% in 2026), significant improvements in profitability (cash flow from operations to sales at 47.7% in 2025, operating profit margins at 31.6% in 2025), and a strong competitive position in the AI industry. Despite anticipated revenue growth deceleration after 2026, he finds the current valuation reasonable, with a forward price-to-earnings of 83 and a forward price-to-operating cash flow of 66. His updated discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic value of $153 per share, significantly higher than the current market price of $128, indicating the stock is undervalued.

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