If you are a PALANTIR shareholder….GET READY

Tom Nash•Apr 10, 2026

Summary

Tom initiates the discussion by acknowledging investor nervousness regarding Palantir's recent stock decline, which saw a 26% drop over six months. However, he emphasizes the importance of a long-term perspective, noting Palantir's significant gains of 48% over the past year and 500% over five years. Tom addresses Michael Burry's bearish thesis, which suggests Palantir is overvalued and susceptible to disruption by competitors like Anthropic. While respecting differing opinions, Tom suggests Burry's negative influence actually benefits long-term investors by driving down prices, allowing them to acquire shares at a lower cost basis.

Tom meticulously refutes Burry's arguments by dissecting Palantir's fundamental health. He posits that the recent stock drop is primarily due to broader market sentiment (like the Iran situation and an AI sell-off) rather than company-specific issues. He dismisses the Anthropic threat, analogizing it to a 'toothbrush' attempting to replace a 'professional painter,' highlighting Palantir's unique scalability and function. Tom supports his bullish thesis by dissecting Palantir's financial health:

**Palantir (PLTR):** Tom highlights Palantir's remarkable financial performance, including 56% annual revenue growth and a 191% increase in operating profit margin, signaling strong scalability. The company boasts $2 billion in annual free cash flow with 84% growth, alongside a robust balance sheet featuring $7.2 billion in cash against only $400 million in debt. Based on his objective Stock MVP scorecard, Palantir achieves an elite score of 98 out of 100, reflecting exceptional growth, margins, liquidity, and balance sheet strength, which he considers the highest-rated company he has ever seen on the platform. He also notes consistent quarter-over-quarter growth in revenue, gross profit, net income, and operating income, indicating a strong upward trend in business fundamentals while the stock price declines.

**Nvidia (NVDA):** Tom mentions Nvidia as a benchmark for comparison within his Stock MVP scorecard, noting it as one of the top companies with an excellent fundamental profile. While highly regarded, Nvidia scores 88 out of 100 on his platform, which is still significantly lower than Palantir's exceptional 98. This comparison serves to underscore Palantir's superior fundamental strength as evaluated by Tom's objective metrics, despite Nvidia's prominent market position.

Furthermore, Tom points out that institutional investors, such as Vanguard and Fidelity, have been aggressively increasing their holdings in Palantir over the past two and a half years, contradicting narratives that advise retail investors to avoid the stock. He advises viewers to observe institutional actions rather than just words. Tom concludes by providing his own long-term price targets for Palantir (within 5 years): a bear case of $150 (30% upside), a middle case of $493 (288% upside), and a bull case of $1,231 (717% upside). He reiterates the importance of developing personal conviction and disciplined investing, especially during periods of market fear, which he views as prime buying opportunities.

Mentioned Stocks

PLTR

Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Tom is extremely bullish on Palantir, viewing the recent stock decline as a buying opportunity driven by market sentiment rather than fundamental issues. He counters bearish arguments by citing strong financial metrics: 56% annual revenue growth, 191% increase in operating profit margin, $2 billion in annual free cash flow with 84% growth, and a robust balance sheet with 17 times more cash than debt. Palantir scores an 'elite' 98 out of 100 on his objective Stock MVP scorecard, surpassing even top companies like Nvidia. He projects long-term price targets (within 5 years) ranging from a bear case of $150 (30% upside) to a bull case of $1,231 (717% upside), emphasizing that institutional investors are actively accumulating shares. He also mentions he bought Palantir at $6 in 2022.

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