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11 Undervalued Stocks To Buy Today

Summary

Joseph argues that the S&P 500 and QQQ gains are misleadingly narrow, driven primarily by a handful of semiconductor and AI firms. To capitalize on this, he suggests a 'core-satellite' strategy, maintaining 50% of a portfolio in broad ETFs like VOO or SCHG and 50% in individual stocks. He focuses on identifying high-quality companies that are trading at the lower end of their historical valuation ranges despite maintaining strong fundamentals.

Beyond individual stock picks, Joseph analyzes the broader tech ecosystem, noting that the demand for AI is creating a secondary wave of demand for memory chips, which significantly benefits companies like ASML. He also addresses recent inflation reports, suggesting that while energy costs remain a concern, inflation may have peaked. Finally, he warns against the 'casino-like' behavior of the market, specifically criticizing new leveraged ETFs designed to track the SpaceX IPO, which he labels his 'fail of the week.'

S&P Global (SPGI): Joseph rates this as a buy because it is trading at its cheapest historical valuation in five years on both a price-to-earnings and price-to-free cash flow basis. He notes a forward PE of 21, which is remarkably low for a company of this quality.
Amazon (AMZN): Joseph views Amazon as a diverse powerhouse with levers in robotics, logistics, and satellite internet. He believes the valuation is attractive and predicts the stock will eventually go above $300 per share.
Duolingo (DUOL): Despite extreme volatility and being 74% off its highs, Joseph maintains a buy rating on the stock. He has personally added to his position as the price declined, believing in the long-term potential of their digital education platform.
Netflix (NFLX): Trading 38% off its recent peak with a PE ratio of 26, Joseph considers this a buy. He highlights that the company is gaining market share and growing earnings in the mid-teens.

Mentioned Stocks

AMZN
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph likes the diverse business segments and historical low PE. He sets a price target above $300 per share.

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META
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Down 27% from highs, Joseph views Meta as super profitable and believes their massive CapEx spend on compute infrastructure is a long-term positive.

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ASML
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: The stock is near all-time highs. Joseph continues to hold his shares due to strong demand for memory chips but is not buying more at current prices.

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MSFT
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: The stock is 27% off its highs and Joseph believes the heavy CapEx spend is predictable and will yield high returns through their software ecosystem.

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GOOGL
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: Despite being Joseph's largest position, he believes it is currently too expensive on a free cash flow basis and advises waiting for a better entry point.

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TXRH
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph highlights the reasonable valuation and expects beef prices to go down in the future while organic growth continues.

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DUOL
Sentiment: BUYAction: BOUGHT

Reasoning: Joseph explicitly states he has 'added more and more to it as it's gone down in price.' He believes in the platform's long-term digital education story despite its 74% drop from highs.

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MA
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph notes the stock is 18% off its highs and at the bottom of its 5-year historical valuation. Revenue and EPS continue to grow in the high teens.

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NFLX
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Down 38% from peak with a PE of 26. Joseph states the company is growing EPS and gaining market share.

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MCO
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Similar to S&P Global, Joseph finds it undervalued based on historical PE and cash flow, noting it is a high-quality business difficult to disrupt.

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COST
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: Joseph argues that the valuation is currently too expensive and the stock price has moved ahead of its intrinsic value.

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SPGI
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph states the stock is down 26% from highs and trading at the bottom of its 5-year historical valuation range for both PE and free cash flow. He highlights a 21 forward PE as a great deal for a high-quality company.

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UBER
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Down 31% from highs. Joseph argues that while the PE looks high, the earnings are growing very quickly and it is historically cheap on a cash flow basis.

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DASH
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Down 46% from highs. Joseph cites strong rural expansion and analyst price targets that are nearly double the current price.

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