The UNTHINKABLE is about to happen to Stocks (Get READY!)
Summary
Jeremy observes a sharp divide in the market: while big tech names like Amazon and Meta are showing strength, SaaS (Software as a Service) stocks are experiencing what he calls an 'apocalypse.' He attributes this specifically to the relentless selling of the IGV software ETF, which is dragging down high-quality companies like Salesforce, Adobe, and ServiceNow regardless of their individual performance. Jeremy's core thesis is that this is a generational buying opportunity because valuations for these growth companies have reached levels suggesting they will never grow again, which he believes is fundamentally incorrect.
Jeremy also reacts to market analysts, agreeing with Tom Lee that the market bottom is already behind us. He points to the Nasdaq's 10% bounce from recent lows and the resilience of the economy despite temporary inflation pressures like high oil prices. He highlights the 'FOMO' (fear of missing out) trade returning to the market as investors realize they missed the absolute lows and begin crowding back into tech and financials.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: The stock is moving again and Jeremy believes it wants to reach $250 or more.
Reasoning: Jeremy believes Meta remains a deal for long-term investors even at $600+ price levels, noting that its core products remain strong despite earnings being held back by depreciation hits.
Reasoning: Jeremy expects AMD to significantly outperform Nvidia as its revenue growth acceleration surpasses Nvidia's in the coming quarters. He sets price targets at $275 and $325.
Reasoning: Jeremy calls Salesforce a 'generational buying opportunity' with a forward PE of only 13 despite double-digit top and bottom-line growth expected for several years. He believes it is ridiculously undervalued after its recent 14% decline.
Reasoning: Jeremy states that Estée Lauder is very undervalued and considers anything under $100 to be a 'steal deal'.
Reasoning: Jeremy finds ServiceNow ridiculously undervalued at $89 with a forward PE of 21, noting its consistent 20% revenue and EPS growth rates. He mentioned he might personally buy the stock tomorrow.
Reasoning: With a forward PE of 15 and double-digit growth, Jeremy finds the 45% year-to-date decline in Intuit to be wild and the valuation highly interesting.
Reasoning: Trading at a forward PE of 10 with 20% expected EPS growth, Jeremy views Adobe as a 'steal deal' in the $220s. He argues the market is incorrectly pricing it as if it will never grow again.