My NEW #1 Biggest Investment‼️
Summary
Jeremy provides a comprehensive market update centered on the significant momentum in technology stocks and a shift in market sentiment. He highlights that AMD has officially overtaken Meta as his largest personal holding, valued at approximately $710,000, following a massive 44% rally from its recent lows. Jeremy's main thesis is that the market is in a 'risk-on' phase where semiconductors and specific software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks are leading the charge. He points out a historic anomaly where chip stocks are currently viewed as safer investments than software stocks due to the clear demand for AI infrastructure, though he expects this to revert over the long term.
Regarding the broader market, Jeremy discusses the Fear and Greed Index's rapid move from extreme fear to greed. He views the fact that over 42% of investors remain bearish as a bullish contrarian indicator, suggesting there is still significant 'fuel' for the rally as these investors eventually turn positive. He also notes that upcoming earnings guidance will be the primary driver for stock prices, outweighing past performance. Jeremy mentions that if inflation stays within a manageable range (around 3%) and treasury yields begin to fall, it could provide a massive tailwind for the stock market heading into the summer.
Mentioned Stocks
Reasoning: AMD is now Jeremy's largest position at $710,000. He notes it has broken all-time highs and expects it to move deep into the $300s if it clears the $290 resistance level. He believes Wall Street analysts are just beginning an upgrade cycle that will push the price higher.
Reasoning: The stock is up 27% from recent lows. Jeremy sees price targets of $20, $22, and $25 as realistic in the current market, with $30 being a longer-term possibility.
Reasoning: Jeremy views Salesforce as 'dirt cheap' with a forward PE of only 14. He believes SaaS stocks are currently undervalued due to unfounded fears of AI disruption.
Reasoning: Similar to Salesforce, Jeremy considers ServiceNow attractively priced at a forward PE of 22 given its high growth rates.
Reasoning: Jeremy has high conviction that Honest will exit the year trading well over $5 per share.
Reasoning: Jeremy describes Apple as a 'laggard' because it is viewed as a defensive/safety play, which investors are currently avoiding in favor of high-growth 'risk-on' stocks like AMD.